Quote:
Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
I'm with ya. I'm a big Hushion fan, but his Turf numbers always give me a little pause. Think I will likely hang my hat 3,9 there if I try a ticket.
Stay narrow and cover in pick 4 if I can survive the 5th and 6th.
I will also include Springcourt in the finale.
Anyone have strong opinions in the 5th?
|
pmac,
I was impressed by Girluphigh's debut, as she had a much tougher trip that day than the winner. She didn't break all that well, was sent three-wide after the top two on the turn, drifted wider when Ward's horse came out a bit, got bumped off stride when the two came in contact and still dug in to get the place. Can't Explain, who had everything her own way, came back to run pretty well in the Schuylerville when faced with a tougher pace scenario. I remember being intrigued that Castellano, who rode pretty much every Pletcher baby at Belmont once Velazquez got hurt, was on her instead of CE in there. She should be tough to beat for Goldberg, whose horses always seem to fire in NY. Unless someone gets bet off the board, I may try to get away with singling her.
Pletcher's FTS will probably take a lot of money based on the :59 and change gate bullet last week, but the fact that she only has four published works since May 25 makes her a shaky favorite IMO. It's not typical of Pletcher to have huge gaps in his 2-year-olds' work patterns. Liquid Lunch was tearing it up in the mornings before her debut, but did no running against a poor group of maidens at CD. Only possible excuse for her being that bad was a bleeding issue. I wish Korat hadn't drawn the rail, because that July 23 half-mile breeze is pretty quick for an Albertrani 2-year-old and supposedly she can run some.