Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
Probably around 23 to 25 points.
A horse like El Padrino had 53 points after he won the Risen Star. On the point system, he's a lock to get in.
On the Graded Earning system he was only 23rd on April 15th even after he added $50,000 more in the FLA Derby.
The way Pletcher is going with his layoffs ... it's only a matter of time until he wins the Tampa Derby or Risen Star and skips a major prep to come into the Derby "fresh"
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But, the thing about that is, a number of the races that were used by horses who were ahead of him on the earnings list at that point don't matter anymore. Sabercat was ahead of him at that point, as were Liaison and Rousing Sermon.
Discounting the 2YO races is a good idea IMO, but the Juvenile should have been given more weight. While he was certainly an exception, Action This Day probably would have not made it into the 2004 Derby field under this system.