Quote:
Originally Posted by craiger1313
I'm not referring to the Belmont Stakes. For example horse runs a Beyer in a maiden non winners of 1 of 73 and now jumps to maiden special weight or allowance and is running against horses that are running in the mid 60's.
Does the horse that ran the 73 become a strong play because his beyer is 6-8 points higher.
Thanks for feedback
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In answer to your last question, according to DRF ,Yes, that horse becomes a stronger play because of the higher beyer. The beyer takes into account all conditions, surfaces, distance, class, speed, etc. ( I don't think breeding or trainer) and puts them into this magic formula and out pops a number that can be used to compare runners from different races no matter the surface, length, class,condition, competition.
It's whole purpose in the first place was to serve as a measure to compare efforts from different environments.
Now, does it actually work like that? Well, no. The beyer is just another piece of information handicappers use to analyze a race. It's is essentially someone's opinion, like the ML odds. In reality it's impossible to compare a 5F dirt sprint to a 12F turf race using a single number.