Quote:
Originally Posted by Charismatic1
Maybe when he's 5, sure. However, I have seen many horses with fashionable pedigrees and comparable attributes to the horses you mentioned also drop to $10,000 or less after a much higher freshman fee. Then, there are horses like lowly Cal-bred Tiznow, who didn't excel at 9 furlongs or less and known more for his grit than his talent. Many were surprised when he started at $30k or $35k, but he's up to $75k now and could rightly pull more.
BTW, you speak as though he has NO early speed. He has shown plenty. Sure, he was a tad further back in the Derby and Preakness compared to the Lewis and SA Derby, but how's that a penalty? Nobody held a complete lack of early speed against Tapit.
Assuming he is retired after this year, I have to believe the first Triple Crown winner in 34 years will stand for at least $75,000 in 2013. And most importantly, he would get really good mares. Never underestimate the allure of the Derby and Triple Crown. Many breeding decisions are influenced by those dreams. Many will figure: What better place to start than the horse who actually did it?
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Tiznow, while a Calbred, was not lowly bred. His sire, to this day, was one of the most awesomely fast horses I've ever seen. I would probably put Cee's Tizzy in the top 10-20 most talented racehorses (on dirt) that I've ever seen.
His dam was pretty good too. In fact, the year before Tiznow won the BCC for the first time, his full brother was second in the BCC in what was one of the most unlikely BC wins I've ever seen, by Cat Thief. This same horse also beat a future Kentucky Derby winner early in his 3yo season.