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Originally Posted by eurobounce
You are so correct. Plus you have no idea how many tickets there with the combination you have in relation to the pool. When I bet an exacta, I typically wait to last possible moment to make sure the exactas will pays make sense. I will never forget a time at Keeneland when Julie Krone was on a 5/2 shot and Willie Martinez was on a 2-1 shot in a 10 horse field and I looked at the exacta will pays and the Krone/Martinez combo paid $33 and the Martinez/Krone combo paid $20. I was like--HUH!!!!! Krone's horse was bet down from 6-1 so I went ahead and boxed them multiple times--the race came Krone/Martinez. I will never forget that.
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In the Vosburgh the only reason I hit the exacta is because the Henny/War Front exacta and War Front/Henny exactas paid like triple what the same exactas paid with Silver Train in place of Henny despite Henny going off as the favorite. Amazing what you can find by looking at the probables.