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Originally Posted by Balletto
Just because he should improve next year doesnt mean he will. And add possible injuries and other unforseen circumstances and you have a real crap shoot. His dam was a better 2 year old and his sister was fragile. There's a lot of variables you should take into account.
If he's retired tomorrow, he's almost guaranteed the best mares in the world. If he races unsuccessfully next year or is injured, there will be another "hype" runner to take some of those mares away. There always is...
Would I like to see him race next year? Absolutely. Would I blame the connections for making a shrewd business decision... no.
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I still do not want to live with the "what if's" - this is racing. If the Sheikh is too afraid to race, he shouldn't be in the business. He should have more faith in his horse that he could come back and be even better next year -IMO, that is a risk worth taking, and I don't see it as a risk. Bernardini is already extremely good - the odds on him not making the leap from 3 to 4 and being better are slight.
I understand your points, but if the Sheikh retires him (presumably against the recommendation of Albertrani, etc...), I will be devastated and I would blame him.