Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
I did forget about how extreme the adjustment to the charts Beyer made could be.
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I'm not familar with the new synthetic chart they're using...but here is what was confusing me yesterday.
Blue Grass day was April 14th and Bel Ali day April 22nd. Here are the elapsed times in DRF Formulator based on beaten length adjustments:
Eye of the Leopard and Heavy Breathing both ran a final time of 1:49.39 based on BLA. According to Trakus -- Heavy Breathing's final time was 0.06 seconds faster than Eye Of The Leopards.
Eye of the Leopard's Beyer is an 88 and Heavy Breathing's Beyer is an 83. This indicates the track was 5 points faster on Blue Grass day.
Another way to look at it is Big Blue Kitten got a 98 Beyer for running 1:48.42 and Dullahan got a 98 Beyer for running 1:47.94. Formulator had Dullahan running 0.48 seconds faster -- Trakus had Dullahan running 0.50 seconds faster ... thus, the track was 0.50 faster on Blue Grass Day because they both got 98 Beyers.
Current Design runs 1:44.07 on Blue Grass day. Zokarian runs 1:43.95 in the 9th race on Ben Ali day. Formulator has Zokarian running 0.12 seconds faster. Trakus has Zokarian running 0.18 seconds faster than Current Design.
Zokarian recieved a Beyer of 76 and Current Design (who ran 0.12-to-0.18 slower) a Beyer of 79.
That would indicate the track is 4 points faster on Ben Ali day.
You're dealing with all fairly similarly paced races here.
If the 8th and 9th race on Ben Ali day are of the same variant...I guess the Blue Grass Stakes was cut loose from all the other poly rotues on April 14th.
Was the Blue Grass really a 107 and cut loose to a 98? If not, how could the track be 5 points faster at 9fs on Blue Grass day and 4 points faster at 8.5 on Ben Ali day?
If I had the Parallel time charts for Keeneland that they're using I'd know this. That was basically the confusing part to me.