Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
I believe that in an effort to improve Beyer speed figures, they have become more and more subjective than what they originally represented back to the basics he laid out in "Picking Winners". While it may produce a more accurate representation of a specific performance, it also may distort the picture for users because they don't know exactly what goes into a number and takes it at face value. If Beyer is making pace and trip adjustments, handicappers may "double" count something that caused a subjective change in the first place.
Brisnet's are projection based, same as Beyer, but they are straight computer numbers. Most of the time they are very similar, though the scale may be a little different. You can't compare Beyer 100 to Bris 100 without knowing the class pars.
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A good example is Keeneland Sunday. Lots of subjectivity going on there in the three route races.