Quote:
Originally Posted by Linny
Not bred like a speedball or an early maturing type at all. He's been in what appear to be among the strongest of the races for his generation at his level. He won nicely on the stretchout and beat a colt that came back to win. I don't they paid $950k for a horse that might win the Pat O'Brien. He's got all the earmarks of a classic colt.
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Gonna play Devil's advocate on this one.
Fed Biz has been close to hot paces in his last 2. He was the leader at the 3/4 point of call in both those races, where the fraction for both at a one mile distance was 1:10+. It's conceivable that Fed Biz would be the frontrunner in subsequent starts as a horse like Consulado (who was previously ear-marked for the 7f San Vicente before the allowance race came up) is unlikely to continue on to the 9f preps.
As far as pedigree, the Fed Biz, through the dam, descends from a family that includes champion Euro 2yo Minardi (won sprints), worldwide champion 2yo Johannesburg (all Euro wins sprinting; lone US win at one turn), Tale Of The Cat (a frontrunner, who's only stakes win came in a sprint), Preach (G1 2yo, cut back to sprints at 3), and Pulpit (a frontrunning A.P. Indy colt who ran 7f in 1:21+ in his debut). The dam herself was a frontrunner who's only stakes win (4 for 5 lifetime) came in a sprint.
Giant's Causeway was a Group 1 winner at 2, did most of his subsequent running at a flat mile, and the majority of his offspring shows early speed over a route of ground.
There's nothing but precocity and speed in this colt's immediate pedigree. And all that ignores the fact that his trainer prefers his runners to be on or near the pace to begin with.