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Originally Posted by eurobounce
I dont think TMB has much of a shot here. Horse never has won a Grade I event. In fact, he has never been in the money in a Grade I. That tells me that the connections do not think he is really Grade I company or they would have been shooting for them. I do not like the layoff at all even though TMB has been working well. I think he will be a little short. TMB does have the right running style to win the sprint but there are too many other horses to consider. Only think to get excited about is Baffert. Big money trainers win big money races.
Bordornaro is a bet against IMO as well. It appears he needs some time off to be effective. Races in Jan, Apr, Jly and Oct. That is a couple months layoff between starts. This is the 2nd time in his career that he will race twice in less than 30 days. After that 119 beyer I think we are looking at a bounce.
Henny Hughes, Simon Lure and War Front are my choices.
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Euro, I tend to agree with you about his chances (I'm going back and forth), but if memory serves correct there is only one Grade 1 race for three year old sprinters - the Kings Bishop so I'm really not sure of that reason. The connections danced a lot of the big sophomore sprints early in the year - Stephens, Bay Shore, Carry Back - and Baffert wants him fresh so they shelved him. I'm not a huge fan of the layoff, but that's what Baffert wants, so who am I to question it? THe connections obvously think he is Grade 1 capable because he's in here, but what other Grade 1's would they have run him in without stretching him out?