Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god
btw: the futures also put the likelyhood of a republican senate after the 2012 election at 90%.
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That's always been very strong at Intrade, but goes completely against what seems to be unrolling in the field. However, it's very fluid, the polling in the field goes up and down weekly. And you are right that Intrade is usually very accurate.
BTW, Elizabeth Warren appears to be rolling in Mass, to return that one Sen. seat Dem.
At the state level, the GOP is terribly unpopular, but at the national level, the middle class is gone with 1 in 2 living at or above poverty. The public loves Obama personally, but his approval is low. But every single other metric - Congress, other candidates - is lower than Obama.
Very roiled.