Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
I pretty much agree about that point.
I'm running the handicapping equivalent of the spread option... so I will be betting races there ... and other equally obscure tracks.
I've got some crazy perverted approach that has been working well -- but a lot of the prime edge situations come at tracks where pool size is crap and making a big score isn't realistic or sometimes even possible.
Instead of studying trips for like 40 races in NY a week -- and like 20 at other major tracks -- I deal with about 60 or so races a week from all tracks. A quarter of the races (the weakest ones) I will study looking only for the best next out bet againsts. A quarter of them (the strongest ones) I will study looking only for a horse to follow going forward. The other half are races where the pace was run to an extreme -- either way too fast or way too slow -- and I will study them looking either for a bet-against or a horse to follow depending upon whichever makes the most sense when I actually watch and study the race.
It's an odd approach -- but I'd rather spend time watching races and studying trips where special stuff happened -- than worry about races where nothing extreme happened in regard to how it was run.
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How do you determine which races to watch? You just scroll through results charts looking at the fractions and if a fast or slow pace stands out, you watch the replay?