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Originally Posted by Dunbar
I appreciate the work that went into this, but is this saying anything more than the horses with the best Beyers have the best chance to win? I probably value Beyers more than most here, but I just don't get what's new in this info. Is this suggesting that Beyers may be a better predictor of the BC dirt races than dirt races in general?
--Dunbar
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Generally, yes, the "highest" Beyer runners have the "best" chance.. But it involves the performance pattern as much as it does the career high. Perfect Drift has a career high Beyer that "fits" (117), but it was run in 2003.
Sun King (last 4: 105, 113, 96, 112) offers a much more appealing pattern that would indicate formful opportunity to run a race that would put him in the exotics picture (108-114?)...
The decision regarding which runners, who are in the vicinity of the typical winning fig, are the ones you see as "running their race", is an individual call based on your handicapping...