I think you have to respect Mo's talent and keep him on multi race tickets especially with this field not being the strongest of classics. However, playing the race alone I have to be against him... call it being a wise guy if you want.
No way am I gonna take 2-1 on a horse who's worst race came at 9f (sick or not) and who's going to be close to what looks to shape up as a quick pace up front. Game on Dude, THAS, and Shackleford (if going) will all be looking for the front. Tizway, Stay Thirsty and Twirling Candy wont be far back. Barring defections from the race it could very easily be hot up front. Go ahead and beat me.
I think you have to use Flat Out and Havre De Grace as win candidates. Underneath, why not Ruler on Ice? I thought he ran well in the PA derby and distance is obviously not an issue with a little bit of a meltdown clunking along for 3rd or 4th isn't impossible. Same goes for Awesome Gem. Will be interesting to see how So You Think and Await the Dawn train at Churchill.
Just the way I'm going to approach it... now Mo will win by 5.
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