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Originally Posted by Scav
whoa.....That was his MSW, all horses have excuses 1st out....can't hold that against him at all...he has hooked horses before, he hooked SNS in the Preakness, matter of fact just blew by him.
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"hooking" Sweetnorthernsaint in the preakness does not count one bit. watch the replay and watch SNS weaving around exhausted from the campaign like a drunken sorority girl in a borrowed ferrari.
he hasn't had to deal with a horse who doesn't just fold and give up when they come on even terms. and we're kidding ourselves if we think that everyone in the classic is just going to defer to him like all the other fields have when he approaches.
i'm just having a hard time believing that even money is the kind of payoff you want for taking that risk against some of the best horses in the world.
don't get me wrong -- i completely believe that there is a great chance that he wins, or even wins for fun here like ghostzapper, but it's a risky proposition from this side.