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Originally Posted by bellsbendboy
Good for you Euro: But first let me post that I fancy Sun King as a fabulous racehorse, and my post, was merely expressing that there are two sides to every coin. He somewhat resembles the "wiseguy" horse this year. Many 'cappers, this forum, are "keying" him and I think he has some very large obstacles. For instance;
1) He has tried this trip, about a mile and a quarter, five times. From the half mile pole home, in his closing finishes, Sun King, has lost; 8 lengths,6 lengths, 6, 8, and 9 lengths.
2) Sun King will not have raced in NINE weeks.
3) Sun King will pick up NINE pounds off his last.
4) Sun King has not won A Grade I. Of his two Grade II triumphs, one was in Pennsylvania and the other was in the Commonwealth @ Keeneland when the field STRUGGLED to get their last 3/8's in some :40 seconds. The average winning Beyer for that race is 108; Sun King's Beyer of 98 would not have put him anywhere close in the 20 previous runnings.
Ceejay and Sightseek excellent input.
As for Intercontinental's wire job which was a major score for many in our circle, Brisnet.com bet a $49,000 pick six ticket and did NOT include her! BBB
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Nice work BBB. I really appreciate the analysis.
I like Sun King but I agree that he has proven that 10 furlongs is beyond his scope. The hype surrounding this horse for this race i wont understand other than the fact that it is a New York based Zito horse and like all the other ones, they seem to be overhyped from the start. I am glad the hype will possess people to bet on entries with little to no chance. Sentimental favorites like Perfect Drift and Sun King always helps the other prices.
As for Premium Tap, I dont like his chances at all either. I am willing to throw out the last race but its the other races that i have trouble with. The woodward was won on a speed favoring track against some pretty suspect horses. In the race before, the whitney, he was destroyed by Invasor. He just doesnt seem like a top class horse especially looking at his lack of success in even winning allowance races of which he was 1-4 this year.