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Originally Posted by bellsbendboy
Good for you Euro: But first let me post that I fancy Sun King as a fabulous racehorse, and my post, was merely expressing that there are two sides to every coin. He somewhat resembles the "wiseguy" horse this year. Many 'cappers, this forum, are "keying" him and I think he has some very large obstacles. For instance;
1) He has tried this trip, about a mile and a quarter, five times. From the half mile pole home, in his closing finishes, Sun King, has lost; 8 lengths,6 lengths, 6, 8, and 9 lengths.
2) Sun King will not have raced in NINE weeks.
3) Sun King will pick up NINE pounds off his last.
4) Sun King has not won A Grade I. Of his two Grade II triumphs, one was in Pennsylvania and the other was in the Commonwealth @ Keeneland when the field STRUGGLED to get their last 3/8's in some :40 seconds. The average winning Beyer for that race is 108; Sun King's Beyer of 98 would not have put him anywhere close in the 20 previous runnings.
Ceejay and Sightseek excellent input.
As for Intercontinental's wire job which was a major score for many in our circle, Brisnet.com bet a $49,000 pick six ticket and did NOT include her! BBB
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One of my handicapping associates drilled Intercontinental big time last year. I didn't question the horse's ability to get the distance -- the breeding spoke volumes about distance (as was later proven in the actual race). However, I was overly negative about the Bailey to Bejarano move on turf. To me, Jerry Bailey is perhaps the best turf jockey America has ever produced. One of the few who could turf with the Euro jocks. Bejarano, to this day nearly a year later, isn't the turf jock that he is on dirt. To me, Bailey to Bejarano on turf was a huge downgrade (not so on dirt however).
I missed a huge price that day and was stunned like most 'cappers.
After the race, when I asked my handicapping associate why she chose Intercontinental, she said, "Bejarano has an uncanny ability to get horses to relax -- he sits well". She had a sharp eye that day and from being associated with the Kentucky circuit her judgement was sound on Bejarano and the call.
She made a nice chunk of change and I was glad for her.