Premium Tap has a legitimate shot to win this race. The breeding is a factor at 10f (along with everything else). Was at Turfway when Kent D. nearly killed him. He looked magnificent. He's really rounded into form and he will be running at the end.
The downside to breeding is that people look at the damsire on the pps and they don't look beyond that. They see a damsire associated with speed and assume the horse can't get a distance. Look at the 5 generation pedigree and you'll see a lot more. I don't stay away from Carson City as a damsire because I know that although he ran as a lightning fast sprinter he has stamina influences too. Any damsire from the Mr. Prospector line is often underappreciated as a source of stamina.
I would be seriously surprised if Sun King finished ahead of Premium Tap. Premium Tap has a much better pedigree to get the distance, he's well trained, he's in good form.
If you're a dosage guru PT has a CD of 0.07 -- about as good as you'll see in an American horse in regards to being suited for distance. He has stamina galore in his pedigree.
Premium Tap will definitely be on my tickets at a price. Good post BBB.
Last edited by todko : 10-25-2006 at 11:04 AM.
|