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Originally Posted by slotdirt
Volponi, Alphabet Soup, and Concern all were not GI winners prior to the Breeders Cup. Black Tie Affair's only GI win coming into the Classic was the Iselin at 9 furlongs.
So basically in Breeders Cup Classic history, a first time grade I winner takes the race around 14 percent of the time.
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I don't think Wild Again was a Grade 1 winner before the BCC either. I'm not sure but Skywalker and Arcangues might not have been G1 winners going into the race, either.