Zippy any bet is a calculated risk based upon what you feel the scenario will be.
I think that the presence of some talented horses who consistently show speed or strong tactical speed and turn moves will insure a hot pace.
Therefore I see an optimum chance that a closer, or closers, will make up part or all of the trifecta.
The fastest of those closers on the sheets is consistently Sun King.
I'm not trying to overthink the race just because its worth 4 million bucks.