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Originally Posted by Dunbar
Very nice response, BTWind. I'm (seriously!) way happier reading "under 2%" than "zero". When people really think "zero chance", or "only if the starting gate malfunctions", it tells me a lot about their level of betting sophistication.
I loved Premium Tap's Woodward. However, your comments will get me to take an even more critical look at Premium Tap's other PP's, and of course some race replays. I'll be surprised if I don't like him at 40-1, but it's not impossible.
Regarding Bernardini's chances, I don't know if Bernardini has less than a 40% chance to win the race, but I doubt it's much over that figure. It looks to be a big field. I'll make up a line once the entries are known. It's going to involve considerable guesswork with David Junior and George Washington.
--Dunbar
PS-One thing the Premium Tap bashers have in their favor. There's about a 95% chance they will get to say "I told you so". (even if he loses by a head, they will say he had zero chance to win.)
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And a post like this shows me a lot about who is or isn't extremely stupid and doesn't watch any races, not even big ones, and runs his mouth about horses and races that he hasn't even seen.
The fact that I could recite Premium Tap's pp's without looking at a DRF, and that you had to "look them up" tells me that you are masquerading as someone who is actually studious about racing. You'll never have my knowledge of this game, and for every shot you attempt to take at me, expect three back.
