Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The bookmakers are very smart, and they know she is the popular choice, which leads me to believe Canford Cliffs should be an even heavier favorite.
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Andy, you could well be spot on. I think the general consensus from her last run was that she had lost a step or two and won't have the pace dropping back to a mile against a top notcher like Canford. However, I was impressed with her run, better than the rating guys suggest, the 2nd is a proper horse around Longchamp and the 3rd is a rapid improver (the race will look better by year end I think). On the other hand, the general view was Canford's reappearance was much better which I do not believe.
Add in the fact that Canford's trainer is saying he got so close to beating her last year with Paco and now has a better horse to face her with (I thought Peslier went much too soon in the race last year flattering the runner-up), the public look like they are deserting the mare in favour of Canford.