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Old 04-17-2011, 07:20 PM
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somerfrost somerfrost is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Chambersburg, Pa
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane View Post
So what is the record of the top five BSF's earned by 3yo's going two turns during the same time frame?

Either system covers 1/4 of the field to win the race. To have any value at all you could show me that the top five PF's or BSF's made up 3/4 of the superfecta or 2/3 of the trifecta a certain percentage of the time.

Honestly I think that by themselves without any other considerations they are both worthless, or at least no better at making money at the windows than they would be in any other race.
The use is eliminating 3/4 of the field, making it easier to employ other handicapping factors to narrow 5 prospects down further....note that the average winning PF has been -57, the lowest -42...which horses left can run within those parameters at 10 furlongs? It certainly isn't the sole factor one would use, just one used to "thin the herd".
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