This is an argument of preference. I singled Uncle Mo as well because I was trying to find my value elsewhere. I went against Ava K in the first leg as a heavy false favorite and also tried for a price with Laysh Laysh Laysh in the third leg on my "A" ticket because of his high level of success at a specilist distance. I bet all of $20, a $1 2x3x3x1 plus a $2 single ticket, which died when Laysh completely missed the break. I was however very happy to see that I would get a gross return of about $101 on the $1 ticket with a win by Uncle Mo. So I actually did both things you are talking about. I tossed a heavy favorite I considered false and went single on another heavy favorite. I wasn't a huge fan of Mo, but even still he looked to tower above the rest. Ava K however didn't even look the 3rd best horse to me.
I think these are the only two reasonable options when facing heavy favorites in a sequence. Either single them or toss them completely. Anything else it throwing away money. Which you do though is preference. Would you rather swing for the fences with a high chance of striking out, or go for a smaller, but much more likely return.
__________________
facilis descensus Auerno
|