[Dunbar]

I want to show that you don’t have to be a great or even a good capper to benefit from the 5Dimes bonus. Even a dart-throwing capper would do better with 5Dimes’ 10% bonus than with Pinnacle’s 7% rebate.

Let’s use $50 bets on 4-1 shots, like before. If the track take is 16%, then a 4-1 horse will have 16.8% of the total pool bet on it.*(see below) If we are just dart-throwing cappers, then we should have a 16.8% chance of winning bets on 4-1 horses.

Betting at 5Dimes, we will win 16.8 times in every 100 bets. (forgive the fractional win!). The track payoff on a $50 bet is $250, and we are getting an extra $25 each time we win:
After 100 bets, we have 16.8 * $25 = $420. That’s still better than the $350 we’d get from Pinnacle’s 7% rebate.

A dart thrower will end up with 20% more bonus/rebate money at 5Dimes than at Pinnacle. (assuming both the 10% bonus and the 7% rebate are applicable)

--Dunbar

*Explanation of 16.8% fig:
Say the total win pool is 100,000. Then after taking out the 16% track take, there will be 84,000 left. If a horse goes off at 4-1, that means that 1/5 of the $84,000 has been bet on it. 1/5 of 84,000 is $16,800. And $16,800 is 16.8% of the original 100,000 pool. If we are average bettors, we have a 16.8% chance of winning on 4-1 shots.