Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
You gotta be kidding me. Rosario has a hammer lock with the colt's head cocked to the right around the clubhouse turn and then checks him a couple of times along the backstretch (feet practically in the dashboard the whole way). The only reason a duel didn't develop was because Indian Firewater, open mouthed, accelerated after the opening quarter while Rosario was busy gathering up Twirling Candy. Inexplicably, the geniuses on the other horses decided the first two were going to slow and all moved early in unison into the teeth of a 1:09+ 6f fraction, essentially guaranteeing that Twirling Candy would have no late rival to deal with once Indian Firewater had had enough.
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The opened mouth Indian Firewater was running significantly slower then Morning line and stem cell Eddie and while we can view Twirling Candy's behavior differently you have to conceed that if twirling Candy was in the Donn he would have been able to run a lot faster early in the race and still not be nearly as restrained. I think the fact that he was able to rate into pace figs that a well respected pace fig maker has repped at 20 pts slower then the Donn speaks volumes to my argument that TC could have been 3 or 4 lengths off the hot Donn pace and been in terriffic striking postion. in essence debunking your theory he would have been cooked by ML and friends.
While TC was toiling on a 90ish pace in the Strub and able to restrain from cooking himself on the lead lets assume he was given a bit more run in the Donn and was allowed to run a 100 pace while ML and Eddie cooked on a 110ish pace.. Your only theory could now be running a 100 early vs. a restrained 90 would have twarted his last 3/8ths. I guess its possible but I actually see him winning the race(Donn) with considerable ease.