1/21: Gulfstream (6th-10th)
There's a reason David Milch has titled his upcoming HBO series about the game 'Luck', and one glance at how Aqueduct's late P4 worked out will demonstrate why. Feature race winner Rein King was only going to be able to win the 8th if all other possible pace types took back or simply didn't apply pressure. That scenario materialized, and bug boy Brian Pedroza sailed home at 8-1 to guarantee a quality payout in the quad. When L L Flying Notes corralled without excuse 3-5 Good to Be Me in deep stretch in the 9th, the reward was an $867 P4 on a $45 play. The beauty of multi-race wagering is that it allows you to employ horses that will be successful in less-than-likely scenarios. When they benefit within the sequence, it deliver bonus payouts to you for using your imagination. It was an especially fun Aqueduct afternoon given Lloydobler's entertaining placement in the day's 3rd race. The gelding ran his best race since last winter, and snapped back towards his career best figs. Hope you did well... Gulfstream has the important action today and the Big A has been cancelled anyway due to snow!
GULFSTREAM
POST-SCRATCHES
OFF THE TURF ONCE AGAIN
6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Albali 9th
Next Best: #13 Developing Story 8th
Exotics Use: #15 Dandy's Essence 3rd
Super Add: #6 Kate's Holiday 2nd
7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
As discussed Thursday with Mike Welsch, this is a rather unremarkable looking group. And the faves are not markedly better than the prices..
Best Value: #1 Deed It Is 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dance City 8-5 WON ($3.60
Exotics Use: #6 Trouble for Tiger 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Where's the Beef 6-1 4th
8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #11 Island School 12-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #5 Mirimichi Babe 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Call Again 15-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Mae Ruler 20-1 9th
9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)
Will likely produce some Fountain of Youth starters, but let's wait and see what we get here before annointing anyone..
Most Likely: #2 LATE SCRATCH
Next Best: #4 Cool Blue Red Hot 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Lauburu 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Beamer 6-1 3rd
10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (Super)
Best Value: #1 Stern 8-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #7 SCRATCH
Exotics Use: #6 SCRATCH
Super Add: #9 Career High 5-1 2nd
<$50 P5 Play:
6: 6-10-13-15
7: 1-4-6
8: 11
9: 2-4
10: 1-6-7-9
4x3x1x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
.50 CENT Pick 5 (12-4-11-2/3-1) 4 Correct Paid: $10.80 X 4 = $43.20
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-4-6
8: 2-5-7-11
9: 2-4-6
10: 1-6-7-9
3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
.50 Pick 4 (4-11-2/3-1) 4 Correct Paid: $140.70
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 01-21-2011 at 06:18 PM.
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