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Old 01-04-2011, 09:03 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,687
Default 1/5: Gulfstream (Opening Day; 5th-9th)

Gulfstream Park season breaks from the gate today, always a welcome addition to the winter racing lineup. Latest management shakeup at Hallandale has produced a number of innovations including a reduced takeout (15%) Pick 5 play, Early P4 and Beulah Park-style "Fortune 6" which grows jackpots by demanding a single winner on the .10 minimum bet. Based on Magna's development of their popular multi-track P5, and this summer's successful 5 race multi at Monmouth, you can expect the Gulfstream version to draw pool interest immediately. The P6 wrinkle, which was a good idea considering how little attention the wager received historically at GP, may take root more slowly.


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Credible favorites in Upgrade and Cognac Kid, but neither have to win. Pricey options abound including pairs from Sheppard and Romans, grass movers from Serpe and Zito, and Wilkes' Versailles Road..

Best Value: #3 Versailles Road 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Upgrade 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Ae Pit 12-1 11th
Super Add: #5 Steve's Star 20-1 10th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Odd group and two faves don't inspire overwhelming confidence..

Best Value: #10 Sweetly Valid 20-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Miss Smarty Pants 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Media Starlett 10-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Gazillion Kisses 6-1 WON ($13.00)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Like the 5th, favorites are solid but unspectacular..

Best Value: #5 Silent Joy 8-1: Notable trainer switch.. 5th
Next Best: #2 Melody Dawn 6-1: Motion clicks 1st/North America.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Lady's Lunar Luck 6-1: Bush acquisition dangerous.. 7th
Super Add: #7 Silvislip 20-1: Viable exotics booster.. 11th


8th: Old Hat (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

A. Dutrow praised maturing Smoke Glacken grey in ATR visit Tuesday, noting that Jeremy Rose will not need the lead with overachieving PA-bred..

Most Likely: #5 Quantum Miss 2-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Roxy Gap 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Pomeroy's Pistol 10-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T (Super)

Third lawn event of sequence, and am again interested in backing some horses that aren't readily apparent. Fawkes' Show Time highly embracable going to lawn off iffy dirt debut 12/16 across town. Adept conditioner has positive ROI's on all relevant karma angles, and fact that The Cliff's Edge bay is a half to Hollendorfer's excellent lawn lass Rendezvous is olive in the martini..

Best Value: #3 Show Time 12-1 12th
Next Best: #1 Derby Kitten 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Classical Chant 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Vapor Trace 8-1 6th


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-3-8
6: 4-8-9-10
7: 2-5-9
8: 5
9: 1-3-10-12

3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $75


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8-9-10
7: 2-5-9-14
8: 5
9: 1-3-10-11-12

5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-05-2011 at 04:47 PM.
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