Put me squarely in the camp that thinks the 21-1 missing by a length is more likely the overlay than the 5-2 winning by 3/4. To call getting 5-2 on that narrow win a "steal" is far-fetched.
And to knock the 21-1 bet because it didn't "pay" is silly. If you can hit 10% of your 21-1 picks, you'd be the most successful bettor at the track. Missing by a length with that kind of longshot is evidence that you are on the right path.
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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