I am an observer and a statistician by training. When one designs an experiment for testing, one must do so without assuming a particular outcome; you are experimenting in order to find the outcome. As the data accumulates, you can begin to form theories about it. Racing on polytrack is an experiment, and we are accumulating data from racing at Turfway, Woodbine, and Keeneland. The preconceived notions I wrote of are those in which you assume that races on Poly should be run exactly as they are on speed-biased dirt. One adjusts one's handicapping for mud, or slop, soft or yielding turf, does one not?
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