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15% reduction assumes that no one that loses benefits isn't going to accept a lesser job now that the reality of free money has ended.
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Considering there is 1 job for every 5-8 people, I think we can safely say that once most folks lose their unemployment, they will tend to be homeless, without health care, and on food stamps. That costs the government more money.
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Plus how how much economic stimulus comes from paying your utility bill or an oil company? Not much.
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"Not much?"
Wanna quote the figures on that? EVERYBODY buys food, heat, gasoline, telephone, electricity, etc. The basic necessities are just that.
If you think the economy thrives on 58" plasma TV purchases, you're wrong.