11/12: Aqueduct ($415k C/O)
No ATR today as I take the morning off and head to Aqueduct for today's 3rd which features the return of Dee Tee's Lloydobler. The visit has the added benefit of the enormous 4 day P6 carryover which swelled to $415k+ after another afternoon of tricky results. This sextet is no bargain either, with full fields aplenty and three turf routes to complicate ticket-building. Hope everyone tries to put in at least a small play. My thoughts with 2 budget approaches below...
AQUEDUCT
PRE-SCRATCHES
3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Pawley's Porch 2-1 3RD
Next Best: #3 Lloydobler 7-2 5TH
Exotics Use: #6 Beckon 5-1 WON ($9.60)
4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 John Wyatt 3-1 7TH
Best Value: #4 Scotchmallow 12-1 12TH
Next Best: #3 Gamblin Fever 8-1 9TH
Super Add: #12 Pagan Ruler 15-1 WON ($35.60)
5th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Great Press 8-5 3RD
Best Value: #3 Jimmy's Sweetheart 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #9 Lucky Leslie 4-1 2ND
Super Add: #10 Money Magnet 10-1 7TH
6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #6 Ms Stilleto 6-1 9TH
Next Best: #7 Frivolous Buck 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Cagey Girl 4-1 6TH
Super Add: #2 Tutti Va Bene 12-1 2ND
7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Kid Tornado 5-2 4TH
Next Best: #1 Top It 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Splendid Behavior 7-2 5TH
Super Add: #8 Active Trader 8-1 8TH
8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
8-5 fave #4 Denomination is a nice filly, and Clement is certainly capable off the layoff. But she might need one and there are a few here within hailing distance, so go beyond a single if you can afford it..
Most Likely: #4 Denomination 8-5 4TH
Best Value: #8 Quedabra Shiner 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #9 Darjeeling 5-1 3RD
Super Add: #7 Exclusive Scheme 4-1 2ND
9th: CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)
As much as $2,000,000 on the line and your P6 play may come down to a hatful of $7.5k claimers... Yikes!
Most Likely: #1 No Rhyme Or Reason 4-1 4TH
Next Best: #8 Full N Sassy 7-2 WON ($6.90)
#Exotics Use: #6 SCR
Super Add: #10 Good Will 8-1 7TH
<$200 P6 Play:
4: 1 [4]
5: 4
6: 1-6-7
7: 1-2-5
8: 4
9: 1-8 [6-10]
Budget play: 1x1x3x3x1x2 = 18 x $2 = $36
Full play: 2x1x3x3x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-6-7
7: 1-2-5
8: 4-8
9: 1-6-8-10
3x3x2x4 = $72
$1 Pick 4 (7 WITH 1 WITH 8 WITH 2/3/5/6/8/13) Paid $297.50 X 2 = $595.00
Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-12-2010 at 03:53 PM.
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