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Originally Posted by Bababooyee
OMG! A track bias!  
Isn't this something handicappers should be at least somewhat excited to see? It is a clear advantage to those paying attention. For example, how long did the strong speed bias at Keeneland last during the spring? Make use of this info while you can as these things come and go all the time, at lots of tracks, over lots of different surfaces.
Also, just because you don't like a particular surface, or what have you, doesn't mean you should totally forget some basics of the racing game.
Steven Davidowitz, Betting Thoroughbreds 25, 37 (2d rev. ed. 1997)
And even though it wasn't oracle's intent, those of us who can't pay as close attention should actually thank him for this info. So, in that spirit, " Thank you!" Seriously, please feel free to share as much information like this you can - it is very much appreciated (by me, at least). |
Baba,
I really think that this thread was informative to people. You'd be surprised how many folks don't realize whats going on.
I just had a trainer friend of mine in NY call me. He wanted to tell me that in the 4th race today at Keeneland he heard that a firster trained by a guy that he shares a common owner with(they sometimes trade horses back and forth for the guy so he knows him well) could fly and to bet him.
I thanked hium but told him under no circumstances to bet the horse because he shows fast workouts and will likely have to make the lead to win. My friend the trainer didn't understand why that would be bad. I explained about the 29 poly races and only one wire job by a 3-5 shot who was taking a triple drop in class and was life and death to narrowly win. He was stunned. He hadn't been paying attention to it that closely down there and had no idea how bad speed was. He thanked me for stopping him from bettiing barn's payroll on the horse. And no he wasn't kidding.