Quote:
Originally Posted by _ed_
I do believe Katie Lee is better. Matter of opinion, I guess.
I think she's a couple of lengths better than Seachange, who raced pretty well in top company over there.
Anyway, we'll see what happens.  The point I was making at first was that Culminate's odds should not be lower than Katie Lee's. |
They are based on racing in local conditions. Culminate just won a race and Katie Lee finished up the track in her Aussie debut. The local folks are likely to look at those facts and conclude that Katie Lee hasn't traveled well or whatever and not bet as much on her as on a recent winner.
Although the distance isn't as far, the example of My Own True Love Cougar II might demonstrate the dynamic. Cougar was only 4th or 5th best 3yo in his homeland of Chile, but the top two also transferred to the US and ran nowhere near as well as Coug did up north.