Actually that was from a Nate Silver discussion on one of the talk/news shows this past week, talking about Sestak race and a few others. I agree 538 is the most accurate Also still about 75% for GOP to take House.
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The GOP was never a given to take the senate and they are a lock to take control of the house
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Yes, the "GOP retakes the Senate for sure Tsunami" was re-written shortly after the primaries, when the Tea Party candidates started opening their mouths and it was realized that was lost
