9/12: Belmont Park ($54k C/O)
Fun wagering day for Belmont Fall opening despite missing the P4's, as some key price players juiced multi-horse and multi-race plays. Hope you did well! $54k+ P6 carryover out there today to start on very tricky sequence...
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 10f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Quirky start to P6 C/O sequence with win shy types taking a 10 panel lawn tour..
Most Likely: #8 Exclusive Strike 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Time for Tutt 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Avenging 7-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Albany Road 3-1 WON ($7.00)
6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Pretty nice group of state bred fillies with some starting to find their form as turf routers. Key issue is asking yourself how many chances you give a horse like Makeminechocolate when a jump up winner like Frazzie is not impossible moving to grass and stretching out for Schosberg. And you should even consider horses like Quixsand (burdened today by a tough outpost) over a Makeminechocolate..
Most Likely: #5 Strikealinethruit 9-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Irish Lady 10-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Frazzie 15-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Makeminechocolate 3-1 WON ($3.70)
7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Quandry will be how far beyond previous starters you care to delve..
Most Likely: #1 Eden Is Burning 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Upper East Sider 12-1 WON ($26.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Miss Crabtree 15-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Miss Marla 15-1 4th
8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Take a Vow 5-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Witchesofwestfield 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Hey Babe 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Lights Out Lisa 5-1 5th
9th: 35th Ashley T. Cole-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Uncle T Seven 5-2: Troubled in good Kingston try; Adds Leparoux.. WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #2 Piazza Di Spagna 15-1: Closer needs best, but is field's lone 9f winner.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Gimme Credit 2-1: Faced better Cole field in '09 when 4th beaten 2L.. 3rd
Super Add: #5 Pocket Cowboys 3-1: Added rating gear behind Straight Story at Spa.. 2nd
10th: CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)
Best Value: #1 Greeley's Legacy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Saratoga Sinner 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #12 Motown Shuffle 4-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Reflect Times 10-1 6th
<$200 P6 Play:
5: 8-9
6: 5-8
7: 1-5
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 7
10: 1-2-12
2x2x2x4x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-5
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 2-3-7
10: 1-2-12
2x4x3x3 = $72
Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-12-2010 at 05:51 PM.
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