He can be a factor. The track can be super speed favoring, the way it was when he broke his maiden, and the speed in the race could have a ton of trouble and he can be left alone on the lead in slow fractions and get carried home by the track (while a couple of closers fall on the turn).
Anything is possible. There's my analysis.
Of all the interesting races/horses that we don't discuss, suddenly there's the need to spend time on this PLUG.