The whole world knows what kind of trip Cacique had last time. Its not privy info. Not bashin the horse at all, just dont think a good trip necessarily equals a win. Especially in a completely paceless race with Relaxed Gesture and Grey Swallow, 2 horses he hasnt met yet.
Do I think he can win? Sure.
Do I think he can get a better trip? Sure.
Do I think he would have won his last w/o trouble? Sure.
But I think hes going to be a lot shorter than the price people are thinking. I believe he'll go favored at about 8/5 and worth trying to beat, in a race without a tiring target.
Good luck. If I go deep in picks, he will be on my ticket.
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