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Old 08-13-2010, 10:40 AM
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fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,861
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Hit the early P4 Thursday for 'real money', and enjoyed one of those good kinds of days that are necessary at a meet like Saratoga to build the bankroll. Best Value 2nd choice Valiant Passion was usable in the MSW 2nd race at 15-1 with Ralph Nicks adept at sending babies out ready. When she went off at 30-1, the $63.00 win mutuel was a gigantic bonus and led to the boffo P4.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Two obvious chalks followed the tote explosion ahead of $20.20 Al Stall trainee Heritage Hall, who flew home late in the 5th and delivered the best of the 4 possible winning outcomes for the ticket at $1.971.50. P3's within the sequence were nice as well, with the 2nd-4th returning $257.00 and the 3rd-5th $96.50. Missed the late P4 because King Andrew failed to get by Surfing Ian in the 7th, but the day was a good one and I know a number of ATR listeners and Derby Trailers were riding along... Hope all did well!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Winthrop House 3-1
Best Value: #2 Kingsdale Ocean 12-1
Next Best: #6 Sly 5-2
Super Add: #5 Matt's a Giant 5-1


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Next Best: #3 Sweet William 3-1: Drops down; Cuts back; Turf to Dirt..
Best Value: #2 Flying Gang 12-1: Snared Nicks' 2yo Wed. at 30-1; Note MCLM bow stats..
Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Stevie 6-1
Super Add: #9 Wascally Rabbit 12-1


3rd: Lake Luzerne-NY, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Freud's Notebook 3-1: Turf route experiment flopped..
Exotics Use: #4 Torrone 4-1: Who doesn't love good torrone (Italian nougat)?
Next Best: #8 Healthy Debate 7-2: Carries human anchor in Lezcano..
Super Add: #6 Amiga Del Sol 12-1


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Scorper 7-2
Best Value: #8 Voodoouthinkur 8-1
Next Best: #7 Eager Leader 4-1
Super Add: #2 She's Not Easy 8-1


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 General Song 5-2
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 2-1
Best Value: #7 Implied Odds 10-1
Super Add: #4 Warrant Ofc. Cook 7-2


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-5-9
3: 3-4-8
4: 8-10
5: 2-3-7

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Surf Cast 6-1: Dam was a classy distance runner..
Best Value: #9 Air Support 6-1
Next Best: #1 Last Out of Panama 2-1
Super Add: #7 Willy Pay 10-1


7th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Interactif 8-5
Best Value: #4 Krypton 3-1
Next Best: #6 Nordic Truce 5-2


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Deceptively tricky group..

Most Likely: #8 Active Trader 3-1
Best Value: #1 Artie's Chapter 6-1
Next Best: #7 Consort 7-2
Super Add: #6 Splendid Behavior 8-1


9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1e Ownership entry 7-2
Best Value: #10 Satin Jet 5-1
Next Best: #9 Sunnybrook 3-1
Super Add: #4 Magdelena Girl 6-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-9
7: 1
8: 1-4-5-6-7-8
9: 1-4-9-10

3x1x6x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
Absolute LASER SHOW!! Way to go Steve.
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Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
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