Thread: Jcgc
View Single Post
  #8  
Old 10-07-2006, 08:06 AM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nostradamus
An Albertrani win and a Yankee loss. Tough day coming for you.

Good luck betting $1000 into the pick 6 to win $500. Adding Dylan Thomas is like throwing money away. Bet with reason, not with dislike of a trainer.
I don't care what the guy whose about 11% this meet and was lower in perecentage the last meet at the Spa does. yeah I've been tossing him and its working out great quite frankly. The 5-6 winners hes had in the last 3 months have all been heavily favored. Bern accounted fortwo of them at 1-2 or less, and he had a maiden win at 1-2 as well. Boy thats a hell of an ROI in the last three months huh? Hes been ice cold for three months and if you had a brain you'd be tossing him as well.
I don't dislike him, and I think he actually desreves more credit for his job with Bern than he gets from people. He doesn't get in his way, and many trainers would. He realizes he has a superior animal and trains him that way. You don't see him speed drilling the horse in bullet times, or working him in company. He keeps him on a 5 furlong maintenance drill program that keeps him sharp and fit enough to keep an edge, yet doesn't send him over the top.
That may not sound like the high praise I'm giving him, but it is high praise.
Lots of trainers have had very talented animals and ruined them with speed drills and overwork that melts them or causes an injury. Quite frankly despite this horses talent, had he not had a Albertrani training him who knows if he would ever been this good, or kept as sharp as he has. I really admire what hes done with this horse and he desrves a lot of credit, more than he gets from the press as if he is just a footnote in the story.
But its my theory that perhaps the pressure and daily obsession with a once in a lifetime horse has hurt the performance of his other horses.
He won 3 races at the spa, two with Bern and had a miserable ROI and win rate. In July at Belmont he was icy as well. Now at this meet hes floating at about 10% with two wins and one of them a 1-2 shot. If you've bet this guy and keyed him the last three months you have about 6 wins total and 3 of em are 1-2 shots.
I think its prudent to keep tossing out his non Bern horses and I have the proof, perecentages, and ROI on him the last three months as FACTS that you cannot disprove, not opinions. Unless you like 9-10% trainers over a three month span who constantly get bet down with short priced horses and who have three of 6 wins with 1-2 shots. So whose the dummy, me or you?
Reply With Quote