Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Hatheer is terrible. . . and her recent win came over yielding ground. Rose Catherine's a sprinter. Obviously I'm a Tapitsfly fan--and I hope she comes back strong--but I'm dubious.
Comparing McPeek's win percentage to Suroor's like that is painfully simple-minded. . . even for you. Their stock is completely different, so what they do with other horses is irrelevant to me. Simply put - I doubt "Suroor" (not really him) has or ever will train this horse in a way that will serve to improve her. How many maiden winners has "he" gotten from Albertrani that never reproduce their form?
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McPeek has been absolutely slaughtered with older horses at Saratoga over the last five years (5-74, $1.07) and overall he's far from impressive with them (18%, $1.65). In stakes races for older horses over the last five years, McPeek is 14-196, with an ROI of $0.89. Can he train 2YOs? Absolutely, but I'd hate to risk my money on a McPeek 2YO being a good 3YO.
His 2YOs have rarely held their form and his two stable stars from 2009, Beautician and Noble's Promise, are a combined 0-8 this year and Beautician most recently lost at 3/5 to a filly who was beaten by a city block in the CCA Oaks.
Even if his stock is lesser than Godolphin's, which is an understatement, McPeek's numbers with older horses are not exactly the type that make you say, "Wow, no one could improve on those."
There are fewer nicknames assigned be Indian Charlie that are more appropriate than "McPeeked."
NT