Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
Well. . . For one, I think a lot of the horses she was running against last year have ended up being overrated or disappointments. I guess you could say she needed the last race, but trip wise I didn't think she had any excuse not to blow by those horses - she came to them and they repelled her - and Granted Tiger didn't exactly flatter her today. I also don't think Suroor (Metee) is an upgrade over McPeek. Plus she'll be overbet.
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I disagree.... Tapitsfly has yet to run back, so who knows whats up with her. Hatheer just blew a field away at Belmont, Rose Catherine is 2/3 and her loss she DID ALL THE RUNNING EARLY. Het 2 wins have been really strong. Ill give you Smart Seattle though she SUCKS. Really though, what does 2yr old form have to do with now? She is eiether talented or shes not, I think the Suroor is a giant upgrade over Mcpeek.
Last 5 years at Saratoga on turf, pretty simple stat-
Suroor- 7/21, 28%, 52% ITM $2.18 ROI
Mcpeek- 5/39, 9%, 38% ITM $1.58 ROI
Last 5 years at Saratoga, PERIOD
Mcpeek- 12/70, 11%, 41% ITM $1.58 ROI
Suroor- 23/45, 37%, 67% ITM $2.54
Suroor>Mcpeek anyday of the week and ESPECIALLY AT SARATOGA.