Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Same 'angle' applies in the 2nd, doesn't it? Why didn't you pick that one to hit the board?
|
I think the angle is stronger with the horse in the 5th because Maker had that horse for its debut.
In Maker's entire training career - he's never won with a first time starter in a turf route. However, since 2008 he's 7-for-16 with 2nd time starters in a turf route.
In general ... Maker sucks sh!t through a straw with debuters and does very well with 2nd timers.
Since '06 he's 10-for-133 with debuters and a pathetic $0.66 ROI on all surfaces. Over that same span he's 24-for-67 (35% and very profitable) with 2nd timers in a route race.
So Race 2 is just a good angle .. race 5 is an extreme weakness to extreme strength angle.