7/21: Del Mar (5th-10th)
Though just three Del Mar and one Saratoga card are available for perusal, the slates at the two mid-summer resort favorites should be heartening and exciting to horseplayers and race fans. Adding in the remaining 21 cards of the Monmouth uber-meet, the next 7 weeks should be the kind of intense period of quality on track and wagering performance for which we all hope. The .50 P4 makes its' debut at Del Mar today, and with the sequence featuring 11, 10, 9 and 10 wagering interests (9,900 combinations), it will be a welcome and popular addition to the wagering menu. Brad Free, Rick Hammerle and Steve Davidowitz all join me on ATR this morningf to preview the Del Mar action, and the last 6 races on today's opening card were my focus.
DEL MAR
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #4 Lions Story 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #6 Premier Cru 7-2 4th
6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Very difficult and well-matched set with what looks like an honest enough pace scenario..
Best Value: #6 Catsalot 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Ruffled Feathers 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Bran Jammas 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Enumclaw Girl 6-1 3rd
7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Mama Bouche 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Roman Chic 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Go On Babe 4-1 WON-DH ($6.00)
Super Add: #1a (POE) Rote 6-1 5th
8th: 64th Oceanside, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Traditional DMR opener runs as a single heat again this year, and nicely balanced bunch make it a good betting affair. Twirling Candy, who bypassed Saturday's Swaps at HOL for this, could be the proverbial 'any kind' sporting two disparate sprint wins in November '09 and May. Turf shouldn't be an issue for the Craig homebred, who is by versatile Candy Ride out of a Chester House mare. Those seeking a price alternative may want to dabble with intriguing Killer Bear. Though his best work has come versus Cal-breds, he's 20-1 and possible to float higher, and seems to have exactly what's needed in a field well stocked with pace setters and pressers. Knapp trainee's two recent efforts at 7 and 7.5f tip him as dangerous, given that horses effective at seven-eighths are generally tactical and able to adjust to race dynanmics. Topped state-bred elders, and is worth at least a flyer at anticipated jumbo tote..
Most Likely: #3 Twirling Candy 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #10 Killer Bear 20-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Macias 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Domonation 5-1 7th
9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)
Good spot to take advantage of .50 P4 denomination and spread..
Best Value: #6 Brendasgoldennuget 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Total Sum 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 The Whammer 9-2 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #2 Warring Heart 5-1 3rd
10th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)
Best Value: #10 Jakesam 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 (POE) Grand Maneuver 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Bigmikeistheman 2-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Certainly Certain 6-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #4 SCR
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 1-2-3-5-8
8: 3-10
9: 2-3-6-9-10
10: 1-8
5x2x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Last edited by Kasept : 07-21-2010 at 09:32 PM.
|