Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss
Chuck, as a trainer why do you think connections don't take more chances in stakes? I know it's a multi layered question. But take a look at the sticky threads from today. The only stake that drew a somewhat full field was the turf stake at Delaware. I know there aren't many good horses out there. But with the gap closing in between "good" horses and mediocre, how come more people aren't taking chances in these races?
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In this particular race they should have kept it at 7f. That way you would have gotten some milers cutting back and shorter horses stretching out. I suppose that the race at Calder last week didn't help though the Dutrow/RR crew has another, more accomplished, off the claim in the Jaipur. Last year the race only got 5 and there is no guarantee there wont be a few defections in this one.
In the East there is little attempt at coordination of stakes which leads to overlapping spots especially in the 3 yo turf division when Colonials races are added in. I know i sound like a broken record but 10-15 years ago the NYRA stakes not only carried much more prestige but the purse levels were a lot higher for the most part. That isn't true anymore. But that only explains the legitimate or semi legitimate stakes horses. I believe that a big reason we see so few horses taking shots in these stakes that a handful of trainers control so much of the talent. Sure they may have a runner in one of these races but they may also have 2 or 3 in the barn that maybe wouldn't be one of the top choices but deserve a chance, especially in the unusual distance races like the 1 1/2 race.
The higher purse levels at Monmouth could be a factor too. An owner or trainer may choose to be 2-1 in an 85k allowance race as opposed to being 6 or 7-1 in a 200k stake.
Win percentage and some trainers obsession with it
Being that you can scratch without reason up to 45 minutes before post in a stake it makes me wonder why guys dont simply nominate and enter and take a look at these races. It isnt like this is a new trend.