Quote:
Originally Posted by wac
So say that you have a race with 12 horses in it. How many A B C X horses do you guys have? i am trying to get a little bit better at making pk3 and pk4 tickets and just can't seem to cut my tix down to reasonable amounts. Its frustrating b/c i get done and i have 3 a's 4b's 2c's and 3x's. Making those tix are just too expensive. answers?
also what do you do when the horse you know is going to be the favorite winds up being a legit A do you always put the fav as an A even though you know its going to hurt the value?
Finally lets say you put 100 bucks into a pk 4 ticket how much do you have to win to think it was a good bet? i remember reading Crist's exotic book and on BC day he spent like 10,000 and profited 2,000. What say the board?
If you guys think these questions are stupid im sorry but they have been driving me crazy my entirly mediocre CD meet. Thanks
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I think you should start by calculating how much you
will win if you were to take the $100 and divide it into daily double wagers in the first two legs.
As an example if I had three horses in the first leg at odds of
even money,3-1, and 9-1, and the will pays for my selections in the second leg are:
1-1...$12...
$24...
$36
3-1...
$48...$60...$90
9-1,,
$160..$180..$280
The payoffs in red are overlays relative to the win odds of the horses in the first race. I would rather have multiple daily doubles on those combinations and invest the remainder of the "underlaid" combinations into the pick 4. The investment cost will be the same and I will be getting maximum value on the "bird in the hand" daily double payoffs.