Quote:
Originally Posted by stonegossard
Smart buy in the SPY puts. Friday's close was real bad. A lot of technical levels have been cracked at the end of the quarter. A lot of people thought that 1040 in the SP cash was big support. Smashed right through it. I think it comes down to what the bank stocks do, and they all seem to be ready to go into freefall. GS,BAC, and JPM are all breaking key support which could lead to disaster for the market. You also have Smooth Operator extremely bullish which should keep this sell off going strong. I think Morty is bearish as well which has to be good for the bears.
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The thing about the bank stocks is that there is money to be made with the yield curve the way it is. You have rates at ridiculous levels right now and you still don't have to write down all of the commercial losses...yet. Its pretty hard for a bank NOT to make money right now at least the ones that are capitalized sufficiently and have their contingent liabilities under control.
I am with the bears and have been but I think that this is going to be a lot more drawn out with a few more pops along the way.