Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
While showing a profit at PID is respectable, lets put it in perspective. Absolutely no serious players are wagering there. The pools are non-existent, especially the win pools. If Albert Pujols played AA ball, he'd bat .500 and win the Triple Crown. Nobody would give a damn.
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Very few people would care even if it was something done at a major circuit - where I don't disagree it would be harder to do.
Having to make selections for every single race - 24 hours in advance - before scratches and without seeing odds ... it's a lot like asking a hitter to swing at every single pitch thrown in every at-bat ... or asking an offense to run a scripted set of plays without having the ability to audible and adjust for defensive schemes, looks, and formations.
No matter what track you're playing - you're placed at a signifcant disadvantage in terms of producing profit when you're denied the ability to pass a race or adjust to situations and current odds.
You're wired a whole lot better than me - but I'd like to see how you would handle a person who runs a racetrack basically telling you that you aren't on par as a handicapper with a ditzy girl who has confused Delaware Park's track symbol in the form, with that of Delta Downs on more than one occasion. That you're handicapping is not on par with a guy who makes a horse off a 7 year layoff, for a 1-for-40 trainer, 3/1 on the morning line. And why this conclusion? Because you're so young and you're local... which is like supposed to translate to 'you can't possibly know anything about anything'
I can't imagine anyone as bitter about the lack of recognition or respect recieved in terms of how complete they are as a handicapper.
I think there are a few guys who are as good - and some of those probably even better - in terms of playing for profit. But that's an entirely different animal than being complete.
I'll spend hours of really breaking down trainers, horses, races, post positions stats, etc of obscure tracks I don't ever intend to play. I'll spend hours of researching time periods that have passed, some have long passed. I'll spend hundreds of hours over the course of a year working on stuff that will gain me an edge on rare occasions that I know others aren't going to bother with.
I think that stuff comes at the expense of short term profits you can make if all that focus was directed that way instead. I'd rather know a little more than maybe put myself in position to bank a little more.