Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
Obama didn't even beat McCain that easily. I think he beat him by about 6 percentage points. And that was when Obama was popular.
Obama's numbers are in the toilet right now. His approval rating is around 43%. If the election were tomorrow, Obama would have practically no chance of winning. His only chance would be if there was a 3rd party candidate that took votes away from the Republican candidate. Other than that, Obama would have practically no chance right now.
I would be saying the same thing right now, no matter who the President was and no matter what party they were in. A President with a 43% approval rating cannot win an election. It's basically impossible. That doesn't mean Obama can't win in 2 1/2 years from now. A lot can change in 2 1/2 years. Maybe his numbers will go up. But if the election were tomorrow, he would have no chance. Anybody could beat him right now.
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Obama's approval numbers are low now, yes. But look at the Dem vs GOP numbers - the GOP is still at the bottom. The views on the GOP positive for dealing with issues is still lower than the Dems, very low.
For a GOP vs Dem congress this fall, right now the GOP only barely wins by 2% points.
So people are unhappy with the Dems, but the GOP isn't winning any new friends and isn't above them, they are below them. Remember alot of people unhappy with the Dems are progressives that feel this administration is too conservative (healthcare was 'way too conservative for many on the left)
And still the public says that Obama inherited the mess 40% versus "it's his" 27%
So I don't see where "any" GOP candidate could beat Obama at all, right now, today. Too much baggage, too far to the right to appeal to any center, which decides the election. Reagan won on the center, not the base. The people who are voting GOP say they do so "primarily to cut government spending" - yet Bush took us from surplus to massive deficit, started two wars, etc. People know that.
Again: name a GOP candidate, guys. Who could do it?