I know its a bit more than she should probably be chewing coming off just a 6f allowance since November, but I think Katy Now will pull the upset.
Her 2yo form suggests she's more of a route type, improving with distance each start culminating with a maiden victory at 7f. She had previously chased Devil May Care in that one's maiden win over the slop at Saratoga, and finished very strongly (DMC was well clear, however). She won what's generally considered an important allowance on that big day of 2yo racing in November at CD. In the field was subsequent Grade 3 winner No Such Word. Showed a lot of speed in her comeback which suggests she may be in the garden spot right behind frontrunner Connie And Michael.
The latter apparently had a less than stellar work for this race (according to the DRF), getting out badly and having to be ridden aggressively. She's tanked in her two stakes appearances anyways. I don't think much of Ailalea, she seems to have hit her ceiling at the Grade 3 level. Biofuel has never started on dirt and perhaps is hurt by the pace scenario. Devil May Care should win, but as has been mentioned sometimes starts against males can derail a filly's form, which in Devil May Care's case was a bit spotty to begin with.
With all that said, since people will be looking to beat Devil May Care, I presume Katy Now won't be much of a price anyways.
|